College Basketball Betting: Memphis at Cincinnati

College Basketball Betting: Memphis at Cincinnati

The American Athletic Conference regular season title is still up for grabs, so tonight’s matchup between No. 20 Memphis and No. 15 Cincinnati carries a lot of weight. The Bearcats are a half game behind Louisville with two games left to play. Two wins and a Louisville loss to Connecticut on Saturday will give the championship to Cincinnati. Standing n their way is a Tigers squad fresh off an upset of Louisville that will be seeking payback for a January 4 beatdown. Here’s a preview.

MEMPHIS AT CINCINNATI (-6)

The Tigers lack a true superstar, but counter with an experienced, balanced lineup that shoots at a high percentage. Senior Michael Dixon Jr. has been a consistent threat off the bench of late, notching double-digit points in ten straight, including a season-high 18 in Saturday’s upset of the Cardinals. Dixon and the Tigers other long range shooters must be better than they were in the first meeting when they hit 2-17 from beyond the arc. Fellow senior Chris Crawford is hitting nearly 40% of this three-point attempts and dropped 4-5 against Louisville. Tigers have struggled on the road down the stretch, losing three of four with a narrow victory over a bad Rutgers team. Victories over Louisville, Oklahoma State, and Gonzaga, plus a close defeat to Florida solidifies the Tigers’ tournament resume. Memphis is 8-4 ATS on the road.

Cincinnati is the definition of a one-man gang. Senior guard Sean Kilpatrick is netting 20.3 points per game and will leave as the school’s second-leading scorer. He’s totaled at least 22 in seven of his last ten starts and scored 18 in the first meeting. The problem is no one else on the Bearcats roster has provided consistent production on a nightly basis. Unlike Memphis, Cincinnati is terrible from the field, ranking 273rd in the country. In their five losses, they have failed to top 57 points, and shot a woeful 27.1% in Saturday’s defeat to Connecticut. Senior forward Justin Jackson is the only other player averaging double-digit points and is one of the nation’s top shot-blockers. He rejected seven Tigers’ shots in the January 4th victory. Bearcats have to take care of the ball after turning it over 33 times in their last two losses. Kilpatrick is a top talent but without help, Cincinnati’s Field of 68 life will be short. ‘Cats are 18-1 at home and 2-7-1 ATS in the last nine in the series.

The pressure is on Cincinnati. It’s Senior Night, so they should be motivated to snap out of their recent slump. That said, Memphis is savvy team brimming with confidence. The Bearcats stingy defense and the atmopshere of Kilpatrick’s final home game should be enough to get the win, but covering might be problematic.

Bet Memphis (+6)