College Football Preview: Wyoming at Texas State

College Football Preview:  Wyoming at Texas State

We’ve generally liked the job that fifth year head coach Dave Christensen has done at the University of Wyoming and he’s got the Cowboys’ offense clicking on all cylinders so far this season. We would have assumed that Wyoming’s near miss at Nebraska would have served notice that this team is legit but so far they’re still somewhat under the radar. The Cowboys have won three straight games since their 3 point loss to the defensively inept Cornhuskers and have covered all four contests this season. Texas State is 2-1 SU/ATS but didn’t fare as well as the Cowboys when stepping up in class–they were trounced by Texas Tech 33-7 last week but did earn a pointspread cover.

The Intermountain West is often way off the radar of the mainstream sports media which is typically focused on the East and West coasts. They’ve completely missed out on the impressive play of the Cowboys this season. That’s fine with us as it gives us another opportunity to cash a ticket with Wyoming. Texas State isn’t a bad team but they’ve got a very porous passing defense that has allowed an average of 405.5 yards per game in two contests against FBS level opponents. That’s a problem here as they’re likely facing the best quarterback they’ve seen this year in Wyoming’s Brett Smith. Cowboys have become a great ATS play on the road in recent years—dating back to 2011 Wyoming is 11-3 ATS away from Laramie. These teams played on the Cowboys’ home field in 2011 with Wyoming winning by 35. Laramie is an especially tough place to play for ‘flatlanders’ due to the 7,500 ft. altitude but we’re looking for a similar result here. Wyoming is a good team and the marketplace hasn’t quite caught up with how good.

We don’t like laying points on the road without good reason and we think we’ve got one here–it’s a bad tactical matchup for the home team as their biggest liability is Wyoming’s biggest strength. Look for the Cowboys to score early and often as they rout Texas State. With games against weak opponents the next two weeks (New Mexico, Colorado State) the Cowboys freight train should keep on rolling.