MLB Baseball Betting: Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati Reds

MLB Baseball Betting:  Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati Reds

The Chicago Cubs have lost 6 of 7 (pending the outcome of Monday’s series opener) and will be glad to be ‘stepping down in class’ against struggling Cincinnati. The Cubs still have a 9 game lead atop the NL Central and with every other team in the division showing a losing record in their last ten games they’ll be able to weather their slump without much damage assuming they can get things turned around in the near future. The Reds are nominally a ‘divisional foe’ but are going nowhere. They’re 3-7 in their last 10 games and are 20 games out of first place. They even have a tough battle to get out of last place ass they trail fourth place Milwaukee by 5.5 games.

Things won’t get any easier for the Reds during this series as they’ll catch the top of the Cubs’ pitching rotation. They faced Jake Arrieta on Monday and will face lefthander Jon Lester here. Lester has been a monster this season as Chicago has won 11 of his 15 starts including five of seven on the road. Lester has a 2.10 ERA and a 1.003 WHIP for the season overall and a 1.83 ERA and 1.037 WHIP on the road. He’ll be opposed by Cincy lefthander John Lamp who isn’t having a particularly good season. Lamb has a 4.79 ERA overall with the Reds losing 7 of his 10 starts. They’ve also lost 5 of 6 on the road where he’s put up a 3.58 ERA.

Making the matchup all the uglier for Cincinnati is the teams’ respective performances against lefthanded pitching. The Reds have struggled against southpaws averaging just 3.6 runs per game and putting up a 6-12 -4.8 record. The Cubs average 4.7 runs per game and are 16-7 +3.2 units against southpaws. There’s nothing to suggest that they’ll have any trouble hitting Lamb. The Reds, meanwhile, struggle with garden variety lefthanders and they’re facing one of the best in the business here.

The Cubs have dominated head to head play this season winning 6 of 7 overall (+4.4 units) including 3 of 4 at the Great American Ballpark. Lester’s teams have a 6-0 record against the Reds throughout his career. Lamb faced the Cubs late last year and allowed 5 earned runs in 4.7 innings of work.