MLB Baseball Betting: Los Angeles Dodgers at Philadelphia Phillies

MLB Baseball Betting:  Los Angeles Dodgers at Philadelphia Phillies

The Los Angeles Dodgers begin a very important series against the Philadelphia Phillies on Tuesday. The Phillies are also focused as they’ve won four straight and are now just 4 games behind the third place New York Mets (pending the outcome of Monday games). Philadelphia was a train wreck earlier in the season so finishing at or above .500 would be a huge accomplishment. The Dodgers have more lofty goals. They’re currently one game back of the NL West leading San Francisco Giants. They’re also 3.5 games ahead of St. Louis for the top wild card spot in the National League but clearly they’d much rather win the division. Both teams are 6-4 in their last 10 games.

The Dodgers will start right hander Kenta Maeda who might not be a Cy Young candidate but who has been very solid and consistent this season. L.A. has won 14 of his 23 starts including 8 of 11 on the road. They’ve also won his last 3 starts. Overall Maeda has a 3.31 ERA and a 1.087 WHIP, on the road he’s got a 3.28 ERA and a 0.978 WHIP. In his last three starts he’s got a 3.71 ERA and a 0.941 WHIP. He’s also got 14 strikeouts to just 2 walks in that stretch.

Philadelphia will counter with erratic Vincent Velasquez. The right hander has been in very poor form of late though that is due more to one bad game–at the hands of the Los Angeles Dodgers. The Phillies have split Velasquez’s 20 starts this season with a 5-4 record at home. They’ve lost his last three games though Velasquez pitched reasonably well in two of those games. Against Atlanta on 7/29 and San Francisco on 8/4 the Phillies lost a couple of 1 run games with Velasquez allowing 4 ER in 11 innings of work. His last start on 8/9 at Chavez Ravine was a disaster. Velasquez went 4 2/3 innings allowing 11 hits, 9 ER and 3 home runs as the Dodgers thumped the Phillies 9-3.

Despite Velasquez’s poor effort against the Dodgers last time out we’re going to back the Phillies here. Philadelphia has won 8 of their last 12 and we just can’t lay such a big price (-160) with the Dodgers against a team playing solid, competitive baseball.