MLB Baseball Betting: Miami Marlins at Cincinnati Reds

MLB Baseball Betting:  Miami Marlins at Cincinnati Reds

Important game for both teams–for different reasons. The Miami Marlins and Cincinnati Reds begin a four game series in South Florida on Monday afternoon and winning is now a necessity. Miami is currently in second place in the NL East but with the Marlins going 4-6 in their last 10 games that sounds a lot better than it really is. Miami is 8.5 games behind the first place Washington Nationals who are in very good form right now winning 7 of 10. Miami also has to keep an eye on their rear view mirror with the Mets just 2 games back and even the Philadelphia Phillies who are just 6 games behind. The Reds have been playing decent baseball in the second half of the season but they’ve yet to be able to catch the fourth place Milwaukee Brewers. They’re not going anywhere resembling contention–they dug too big of a hole for themselves early on. They’re 20 games under .500 and 25.5 back of the first place Chicago Cubs. More realistic–not finishing in the NL Central basement. The erratic Brewers are definitely vulnerable.

Miami will start right hander David Phelps who has been very sharp in two starts this season. The Marlins have split those two starts but Phelps has an impressive 0.96 ERA and 1.286 WHIP. He’ll be opposed by lefthander Brandon Finnigan who has mediocre numbers overall this season but has looked good in his most recent assignments. For the year, the Reds have lost 14 of his 23 games and 7 of 11 at home. He’s got a 4.45 ERA and 1.400 WHIP overall with a 4.31 ERA and a 1.245 WHIP at home. His last three starts are a different matter–the Reds won all three games with Finnegan putting up a 1.50 ERA and a 1.167 WHIP. The Marlins have been decent against lefthanders this season going 19-8.

The Reds have been a great value in the second half of the season since many handicappers–myself included–had given up on them long before. Miami could be a bit shellshocked–they lost RF Giancarlo Stanton for the rest of the season on Sunday and it’ll take some time to fill those shoes. We’ll take the underdog price on Cincinnati–they should manage at least a split in this series.