MLB Baseball Betting: Minnesota Twins at Cleveland Indians

MLB Baseball Betting:  Minnesota Twins at Cleveland Indians

The Cleveland Indians will be glad to be rid of the Minnesota Twins. This looked like an easy series ‘on paper’ and the Indians no doubt figured they could phone it in and win at least 3 of 4 much like they did in sweeping the Oakland A’s over the weekend. It hasn’t quite worked out that way. The Twins have scored 35 runs in 3 games and can complete the four game sweep with a win here. That’s more runs than the Twins scored in their previous 7 games combined. It’s also more runs allowed than the Indians had given up in their previous eight games combined.

The Indians can’t really afford this type of nosedive at the moment–they’re only 2 games ahead of the Detroit Tigers who have been red hot winning eight straight games. The Twins aren’t going anywhere–they’re 8 games out of fourth place in the NL Central–but could avoid finishing with the worst record in the American League. The Twins have won 6 of their last 10 following Tuesday’s victory. Making this run all the more curious is that they’ve faced three consecutive right handers and have clobbered them after struggling against them all year long (29-49 -15 units). They’ll face another right hander here and he’s not likely to dominate Minnesota–Mike Clevinger has a 8.79 ERA overall in 3 starts including a 9.00 ERA in his only home start. Cleveland has lost 2 of his 3 assignments.

The Twins will counter with left hander Hector Santiago who has been fairly solid this season given the dubious quality of his team. Santiago has a 4.25 ERA overall and a 3.06 road ERA. Most impressively, the Twins are 16-6 in his 22 starts overall, 8-3 in his road starts and 3-0 in his last three starts. The Tribe has a decent record against lefthanders (19-10 +6.1 units) but they average .3 runs per game fewer against them than they do overall.

For whatever reason, Minnesota has dominated Cleveland this year. The Twins are 8-4 +8.1 against Cleveland overall this year including 5-1 +7.3 units at Jacobs Field. Cleveland needs a win but do you want to lay the price with them after this pitiful series? We’d much rather continue backing the Twins who appear to enjoy beating up on the divisional leader.