MLB Baseball Betting: Pittsburgh Pirates at Milwaukee Brewers

MLB Baseball Betting:  Pittsburgh Pirates at Milwaukee Brewers

The Pittsburgh Pirates may be out of the playoff hunt already. If they’re entertaining any thoughts of contending for the postseason they need to start winning some games. With the Chicago Cubs (8-2 L10) and the St. Louis Cardinals (7-3 L10) both playing well the 5-5 record the Bucs have put up in their last 10 games just won’t get it done. They’re currently 63-61 which puts them 3.5 games behind second place St. Louis and 17 back of the NL Central leading Chicago Cubs. The good news is that a wildcard spot is still a distinct possibility. They’re 3.5 games out of the second wild card spot (currently held by St. Louis) and 4.5 games out of the top wild card spot (currently held by the San Francisco Giants).

Milwaukee has won 4 straight after completing a three game sweep of the Colorado Rockies on Wednesday. The Brewers really don’t have much to play for at this point. They’re 8 games back of the Pirates but their primary goal is to stay ahead of the Cincinnati Reds and avoid a last place finish in their division. The Brewers have played well at home (36-29 +8.8 units) but have been awful on the road (20-41 -16 units). They’ve won 4 of 10 heading into this game.

Pittsburgh will start right hander Chad Kuhl who has been very sharp since joining the Pirates’ rotation. Kuhl has a 3.62 ERA overall with a 1.179 WHIP, a 2.00 ERA on the road with a 0.778 WHIP and a 3.00 L3 ERA with a 1.111 WHIP. Pittsburgh is 6-1 in his 7 starts for a +8.9 unit profit including 3-0 on the road and 2-1 in his last three games. That could be an issue since the Brewers have been awful against right handed pitching this year with a record of 31-54 -21 units.

Milwaukee will counter with right hander Willy Peralta who has some pretty ugly numbers on the season. Overall, he’s got a 6.00 ERA and a 1.738 WHIP, a 6.36 home ERA with a 1.714 WHIP and a 3.50 L3 ERA with a 1.222 WHIP. The Brewers are 6-10 in his starts overall, 4-5 in his home starts and 1-2 in his L3 starts. Here’s the most interesting thing about this matchup–for some reason, Milwaukee has absolutely dominated Pittsburgh in recent years. Overall they’re 27-20 +10.4 units over the past three seasons with a 16-3 +11.9 unit record against Pittsburgh at home. If it ain’t broke don’t fix it…