MLB Baseball Betting: San Diego Padres at Miami Marlins

MLB Baseball Betting:  San Diego Padres at Miami Marlins

Sunday baseball action features the finale of a three game series between the San Diego Padres and Miami Marlins. The Marlins took the first game of this set on Friday night with the outcome of Saturday’s game pending. The Marlins are 7.5 games back of the first place Washington Nationals in the NL East with a two game advantage over the third place NY Mets. The Padres are currently in last place in the NL West by 1/2 of a game behind the Arizona Diamondbacks.

The Padres will start right hander Luis Perdomo who has been mediocre at best in his 14 starts. He’s got a 5.14 ERA with a 1.571 WHIP, a 5.40 road ERA with a 1.593 WHIP and a 4.07 ERA with a 1.415 in his last three games. Miami’s numbers against right handed pitching are reasonable but their W/L record isn’t–they’re 46-53 against RHP for a -14.6 unit loss. That might have more to do with being ‘overpriced’ instead of symptomatic of any weakness against right handers.

The Marlins will start right hander Andrew Cashner who came over from the Padres earlier this season. Overall, he’s got a 4.74 ERA with a 1.439 WHIP, at home he’s got a 3.50 ERA with a 1.346 WHIP and a L3 ERA of 3.37 ERA and a 1.812 WHIP in his last three games. He’s started six games so far for the Marlins. His teams are 8-13 -3 units when he starts, 6-5 +2.1 units at home and 0-3 -3.4 units in his last three starts. The Padres have struggled against right handed pitching as well–they haven’t hit anyone well but they’re 37-57 -6.1 units against right handers.

It’s hard to figure out why the Marlins are -165 favorites here other than the Padres’ generally horrible play on the road (23-41 -6.8 units). Not sure what the basis for this is but also worth noting that the Padres are 4-16 -10.4 units when playing on Sunday and 11-30 -15.1 units in day games. They’ve got to get it done, however, in order to keep pace with the Washington Nationals for the divisional title. Hard to get excited about laying this kind of a price with a pitcher as generally mediocre as Cashner but otherwise it’s just tough to make a case for the Padres.