MLB Baseball Betting: Washington Nationals at Philadelphia Phillies

MLB Baseball Betting:  Washington Nationals at Philadelphia Phillies

The Washington Nationals aren’t in bad shape for a team that has lost 6 of 10 but they need to start stringing together some wins. They still have a 8 game lead over the Miami Marlins atop the NL East and a 9 game advantage over the New York Mets. Miami has split their last 10 games while the Mets are 6-4 in their last 10 so it’s not like their rivals are right on their heels. Still, that’s not a big enough advantage to withstand a run of poor play. They’ll try to get back on track against the Philadelphia Phillies who look to be a fixture between the third place Mets (whom they trail by six games) and the last place Atlanta Braves (whom they lead by 12.5 games).

Right hander Jake Thompson will make his fifth start of the season for the Phillies and he’s been awful to put it charitably. Thomson has pitched 19 1/3 innings in his previous four starts allowing 21 earned runs, 22 hits, 13 walks and 5 home runs though he does have 11 strikeouts. Thompson is a youngster with a lot of promise and was called up by the Phillies after a stellar performance at the Triple A level– Thompson went 11-5 with a 2.50 earned run average including an 8-0 record with a 1.21 ERA in his final 11 minor league starts.

Washington will start right hander Tanner Roark. Roark might not be a Cy Young level starter but he’s very dependable and solid. Overall, he’s got a 3.04 ERA with a 1.205 WHIP, on the road he’s got a 3.43 ERA with a 1.211 WHIP and in his last 3 starts he’s got a 3.93 ERA with a 1.309 WHIP. Washington is 16-10 in his starts overall this year, 8-4 in his road starts and 2-1 in his last three starts. The Nationals have had very little trouble with Philadelphia in recent years

Hard to lay -200 with a team not in peak form but the Nationals are 6-2 this year as a -175 to -200 road favorite and 11-4 in this role over the last three years. They’ve gone 59-41 against right handers this season and 35-16 against divisional rivals. There’s every reason to expect Thompson to improve going forward but as long as he’s in this form you’ve got to go against him.