NBA Betting Picks: Brooklyn Nets at Chicago Bulls

NBA Betting Picks:  Brooklyn Nets at Chicago Bulls

NBA Eastern Conference playoff action resumes in ‘The Windy City’ tonight as the Chicago Bulls host the Brooklyn Nets. Brooklyn was victorious in game 1 of the series but followed that up with a very flat effort in the second game to allow Chicago to win and tie this best of seven set. The teams head to the United Center for Game 3 and 4. The Bulls Joakim Noah played through the pain of a foot injury in the first two games of the series and is expected to go tonight but the team remains without their MVP. Derrick Rose has been cleared by doctors to play but has shown little indication that he’ll be back in the lineup this season.

The first thing you’ll notice about this handicap is what a lousy home team Chicago was this season. 24-17 SU at home is average at best for an upper echelon NBA team but it’s their pointspread record that invites further scrutiny–Chicago went 13-28 ATS at home this year. In other words, blindly playing against the Bulls at home was a roughly 69% winning play. That’s pretty much all we need to know for this matchup–we’re strong advocates of the mantra ‘if it ain’t broke don’t fix it’ when it comes to handicapping. Obviously things could change in the playoffs but until the Bulls demonstrate that they’re no longer a ‘go against’ at home we’ll gladly line up on the other side.

There’s other things that have us looking to the road team–NBA ‘wise guys’ love the situation where a team splits the first two games at home and is installed as an underdog in Game 3. The theory behind it is that usually the team with home court advantage is the superior team that simply ‘lost focus’ and didn’t defend their home court. They’re not only getting points in the third game but often in a hyper motivated situation. Overall, Brooklyn is the better team and this is a spot where the always erratic Deron Williams should be primed to put up an exceptional effort. From a pointspread perspective, this has been a road dominated series in recent years with Brooklyn covering 4 of the last 6 games in Chicago.