NBA Betting Picks: New York Knicks at Boston Celtics

NBA Betting Picks:  New York Knicks at Boston Celtics

The New York Knicks are in a position to eliminate the Boston Celtics on Sunday as the teams play Game 4 of their best of 7 series at the TD Garden. New York has dominated this series throughout in opening up a 3-0 lead. They’ve also covered two of the three games in the series and failed to cover the other by a 1/2 point. The Celtics have a slew of injuries and an aging nucleus but what has been most shocking has been their lack of ‘fight’. After falling behind 2-0 in New York the series moved back to Boston only to have the Celtics put up a borderline embarrassing–and certainly non competitive–effort. Given the fact that no NBA team has ever come back from a 0-3 deficit to win a best of seven series Game 3 was the ‘must win’ game for Boston and they didn’t show up. That doesn’t portent well for Sunday’s game.

One thing that has changed is the price on this contest–the Celtics were a -2.5 point home favorite in Game 3 but are a 2 point home underdog in Game 4. The Celtics were an abysmal underdog all season going 10-25 SU and 15-18 ATS when getting points. They’re also 4-8 SU/ATS when avenging a home loss against an opponent. The Knicks, on the other hand, have been a different team in the second half of the season–they’ve gone 11-2 SU/10-3 ATS in the month of April and all season long they’ve been a streaky team. For the Knicks, success has beget success–New York is 22-10 SU/ATS after a win of 10 or more points. Simply put, they’re a team that gets on a roll and builds on that momentum.

If Boston had given us any reason to consider their mental and/or emotional fortitude during this series the handicap may be vastly different. Their lack of competitive fire–even drawing upon the emotions of the Boston Marathon bombing like the other teams in the city–has been profoundly disappointing. With Carmelo Anthony playing like a MVP and the Knicks as a team playing as well as they have in years there’s only one way to handicap this matchup–we’ll lay the small spot and look for the Knicks to complete the sweep of the listless Celtics.