NBA Betting: San Antonio Spurs at Golden State Warriors

NBA Betting:  San Antonio Spurs at Golden State Warriors

The San Antonio Spurs will try to take a commanding 3-1 lead on the Golden State Warriors on Sunday when they meet in the lone NBA game scheduled for the day. The momentum in this series has swung back and forth in the matter of a couple of games. The Warriors got off to a hot start, pushing the Spurs to double OT in Game 1 before a convincing win in Game 2. After that game the concern was that the Spurs were ‘old’ and would be easy pickings for the Warriors. Now the shoe is on the other foot–the Spurs came back in Game 3 with a focused effort which combined with the ailing ankle of Stephen Curry have suggested that they’re now in control of the series.

So is this a legit momentum shift or will the Warriors bounce back? The Warriors have been a tough playoff opponent not only this year but in their recent playoff history. This season they’re a solid 8-1 against the spread in the postseason which extends their record dating back to 1997 to 14-5 against the pointspread. They’ve also been playing their best basketball late in the season–includng the end of the regular season the Warriors have covered 12 of their last 14 games.

San Antonio swept the Kobe-less LA Lakers in the first round of the playoffs covering all four games in the process. That dismal performance by Los Angeles went a long way to hide the fact that San Antonio has been on a very bad pointspread run in the stretch run of the regular season. Not counting the four game SU/ATS sweep of the Lakers and the Spurs have failed to cover the pointspread in 14 of their last 17 games. This team’s style of play isn’t really built for covering numbers and have probably been somewhat ‘overvalued’ during that stretch.

The big question surrounding this game concerns the health of Stephen Curry. Simply put, the Warriors need him to play and contribute if they’re going to win. The team says he’s a ‘game time decision’, Curry says he’s ‘optimistic’ that he’ll play and the odds service injury reports are listing him as ‘questionable’. With Curry on gimpy ankles we’d rather back a Spurs team that appears to have regained their swagger.