World Cup Betting: Australia vs. Spain

World Cup Betting:  Australia vs. Spain

Monday features a matchup of Group B also rans in Australia and Spain. Australia kind of expected to be here as they were the lowest ranked team in a very tough group but to their credit they’ve put up a very competitive effort despite losing both of their previous games. Spain likely had no idea that they’d be ‘playing out the string’ in their third game having already been eliminated from the competition.

Spain has the dubious distinction of being the first defending World Cup champion to be eliminated after only two group games. Xabi Alonso scored on a penalty kick in the opening game against The Netherlands to give Spain a 1-0 lead and things unraveled completely after that. The Netherlands scored the next five goals to rip Spain 5-1 and they remained shellshocked into their next game and were easy pickings for Chile who prevailed 2-0. In terms of talent this should be mismatch advantage for Spain but in terms of focus, enthusiasm and emotion the edge likely will go to the Aussies.

Australia behind striker Tim Cahill has been a ‘tough out’ in both of their group matches losing each by a single goal (2-1 to Chile, 3-2 to The Netherlands). In both cases Australia was the less talented side ‘on paper’ but stayed in the game due to a determined and enthusiastic effort. Tim Cahill will sit out of this game with two yellow cards and his loss is a blow to the Aussie chances but we expect to see the same sort of feisty effort that they demonstrated in the first two contests.

The easy handicap is to back Spain thinking that they’ll want to ‘save face’ somewhat after elimination. Of course that was the same logic that had many on Spain against Chile after the debacle against The Netherlands. Realistically, not even the biggest win over Australia will do anything to mitigate the shock of Spain’s elimination in two games. Our take is that Spain will ‘go through the motions’ here and could win due to their talent advantage. We sure don’t see it being easy or decisive and we’d much rather have the Australian’s on the handicap line.