College Football Betting: New Mexico State at New Mexico

College Football Betting:  New Mexico State at New Mexico

New Mexico is one of the most beautiful states in the US but their college football has been downright ugly in recent years. While this matchup between 1-3 New Mexico and 0-5 New Mexico State might not be the most anticipated of the weekend it does offer a decent wagering angle. This in-state rivalry was at one point very lopsided but has at least become fairly closely contested from a pointspread standpoint in recent years.

So what’s up in Albuquerque? That’s a very salient question to ask about a New Mexico Lobos team that has raised more questions than they answered this season. Bob Davie made some progress in his first season as head coach improving to 4-9 after three consecutive 1-11 seasons. Expectations were high heading into the 2013 campaign–among boosters and bettors alike–but New Mexico hasn’t done much in the early going. They opened the year by losing to UTSA at home as -3′ point favorites. Many concluded that the Lobos would take a step back this year until the following week when the team went on the road to El Paso and upset a highly touted UTEP team as +7 underdogs. Since then they’ve lost both straight up and against the spread at Pittsburgh and at home to UNLV.

One of the few bright spots for New Mexico this season has been the running game–the Lobo’s ground attack piled up 497 yards against UNLV in a losing cause last week. Worth noting that UNLV has the second worst rush defense in the FBS but guess which team has the *worst* rush defense? If you answered New Mexico State go to the head of the class. The Lobos have a slew of tough games on deck (Utah State, Wyoming, San Diego State) and we’re thinking they’ll run over, around and through their in-state rivals. This is a very bad tactical matchup for New Mexico State but a very good opportunity for the rebuilding Lobos to get another game in the win column. In a year where victories will be few and far between this looks like a made to order spot to put one in the books. Don’t see much that a porous New Mexico State team can do about it.