College Football Betting: Toledo at BYU

College Football Betting:  Toledo at BYU

BYU is 1-3 on the season but they’ve faced a brutal schedule thus far. Their four games have been decided by a total of 9 points including three losses by a total of 7 points. The schedule doesn’t get any easier with games coming up against Michigan State, SEC entrant Mississippi State (9-4 LY) and their old nemesis Boise State. Head coach Kalani Sitake might find wins hard to come by this year but he’s done a decent job continuing the BYU tradition of toughness and physicality. They’ll return home on Friday to take on a Toledo team that is 3-0 on the year but facing a weak schedule. Next week they face Eastern Michigan (1-11 LY).

The Cougars step down in class here and there’s a narrative on the game from many armchair handicappers that BYU will be too beaten down from a season full of physical games to compete with a more finesse oriented Toledo side. That sure doesn’t sound like the character of any BYU team, particularly this version laden with 23 and 24 year old returned missionaries making them one of the oldest teams *ever* in FBS level football. That’s actually been the narrative since the near miss against Utah. They were supposed to be too beat up by the Utes to handle UCLA and too beat up by Utah and UCLA to handle West Virginia. The Cougars are 0-3 SU in those games but 3-0 ATS.

This is only the second home game of the year for BYU meaning that Coach Sitake is still looking for his first career victory at LaVell Edwards Stadium. BYU’s ATS record at home isn’t overwhelming (7-6 L3 years) but many handicappers have conflated that with Provo not being a tough place to play. That’s definitely not the case and particularly for a ‘flatlander’ team not used to playing at altitude. Toledo, Ohio is 615 feet above sea level making it a significant jump to Provo, Utah’s 4,515 feet above sea level altitude.

This game is an opportunity for BYU to get another win in the books against a team that hasn’t played at altitude since 2012. Cougars have covered 8 of 11 September games and they’ll add another one to that tally here.