MLB Baseball Betting: Cincinnati Reds at Pittsburgh Pirates

MLB Baseball Betting:  Cincinnati Reds at Pittsburgh Pirates

No one has really noticed but the Cincinnati Reds have won 13 of their last 19 games. The took 2 of 3 games from the St. Louis Cardinals in a series completed yesterday and now hit the road to take on the sputtering Pittsburgh Pirates. The Reds are still in last place in the NL Central but are a much more competitive team than they were a month ago. They’re 22 games behind first place Chicago and 5.5 behind fourth place Milwaukee. The Pirates aren’t officially out of the NL Central hunt but they’re realistically running out of time–if they haven’t done so already. The Pirates have lost 6 of 10 and are now just 1 game over .500 (pending the outcome of Thursday night’s game against Atlanta). They’re 2.5 games back of the Cardinals for second place but 12 games behind the first place Cubs.

Pittsburgh will start right hander Jameson Taillon who has been erratic but has also shown a ton of potential. He’s coming off a nice start in his last outing going 6 innings at Milwaukee allowing 2 ER on 6 hits with 6 strikeouts. His teammates didn’t do their part, however, and Taillon took the loss. Overall, the Pirates have won 5 of his 8 starts including 3 of 4 on the road. Taillon has a 3.72 ERA overall with a 4.91 home ERA and a 3.50 ERA in his last three games.

Cincinnati will start right hander Anthony Desclafani who has looked sharped since returning to the rotation following a stint on the DL. The Reds have won 7 of his 10 starts this season (3-3 on the road) including 2 of his last 3. Desclafani has a 2.93 ERA overall, a 3.78 road ERA and a 3.79 L3 ERA. He’s been very good against Pittsburgh throughout his career–in four starts he’s got an ERA of 2.59 and his team has a 3-1 record in these games.

Statistically speaking, there are plenty of reasons to bet against the Reds but they’ve been a different team in the past few weeks. Pittsburgh looks to have lost their competitive fire of earlier this season and we’re very concerned about their recent form as well as their 38-44 -10.4 unit record against right handed pitching. Desclafani is a very underrated pitcher and we’ll gladly back the Reds at a nice price.