MLB Baseball Betting: Los Angeles Dodgers at Arizona Diamondbacks

MLB Baseball Betting:  Los Angeles Dodgers at Arizona Diamondbacks

The Los Angeles Dodgers will try and continue their excellent play of late as they take on the NL West’s worst team, the Arizona Diamondbacks. The Dodgers won 3 straight and 7 of 10 heading into the All Star Break but they’re still 6.5 games back of the San Francisco Giants who won 4 straight and 8 of 10 heading into the break. The Dodgers’ biggest problem this year has been their mediocre play on the road. They’re 30-18 at Chavez Ravine but just 21-22 -3.7 units on the road. This might not matter in this spot as the Diamondbacks are a miserable home team. They’re 23-20 +9.6 units on the road but at home they’re a brutal 15-32 -24 units. This poor play is nothing new. In the last three seasons the Diamondbacks are 87-120 -45.9 units at home and since 1997 they’ve got a winning record at home at 798-728 but have lost -117 units.

Pitching matchup also favors the Dodgers. Los Angeles will start recently acquired Bud Norris who parlayed a few decent starts with the Braves into a ticket West. He’s looked sharp in his recent outings. In his last three starts he’s gone 18 innings allowing 3 ER and 12 hits while striking out 21 and walking just 3. Two of those starts were with Los Angeles (1-1). The Braves won his last four starts in Atlanta through Norris got the decision in only one. He’ll be opposed by lefthander Pat Corbin who is the quintessential journeyman. His form has reflected his team’s form–decent on the road and miserable at home. Arizona is 1-7 -7.7 units in Corbin’s home starts. He’s allowed 34 ER, 12 HR for a 6.61 ERA and a 1.576 WHIP. The Dodgers are just 10-10 -3 units against left handers this season but no one has had trouble hitting Corbin this season.

Arizona has lost money in most situations this season though none are as ugly as that -24 home record. They’re 17-25 -10.3 units against divisional rivals, 26-37 -10 units against right handed pitchers and 14-25 -7.8 units against opponents with losing records. Dodgers have won 4 of 6 this season but have manhandled Arizona in recent years. Los Angeles is 32-12 +15.1 units over the past three seasons against the D-Backs including 15-7 +5.7 units in the desert. Not sure what to make of these Dodgers but the Diamondbacks and Colorado Rockies should battle for last place in the NL West for the rest of the year.

BET LOS ANGELES DODGERS -115 OVER ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS