MLB Baseball Betting: Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds

The Cincinnati Reds are so bad now that I really don’t even need to write this article. Just seeing that title up there should tell you the play. Milwaukee is no great shakes themselves–they’ve lost 7 of 10 (pending the outcome of Saturday’s game in which the Brewers are leading 9-0 in the third inning) and have been a bad road team going 15-28 (-8.6 units). They’re also 10-18 -6.1 units against divisional rivals. The Reds do have one very talented pitcher in Anthony Desclafani. When he’s not on the mound they’re simply unbettable. Cincy is 6-14 in their last 20 games though they did beat Milwaukee in the opening game of this series. Milwaukee still has a glimmer of hope–they’re 16 games out of first place in the NL Central but just 7 games back of the third place Pittsburgh Pirates and 7.5 games back of the second place St. Louis Cardinals. With all of the teams above them in the NL Central having gone through significant downturns at various points this season if they can at least ‘tread water’ they could put themselves in contention for a possible wild card berth. It’s not much, but it’s something.

The Reds might as well just call it a season. They’re 8 games behind the fourth place Brewers, 13 games behind the third place Pirates and 13.5 games behind the second place Cards. And a whopping 22 games back of the division leading Chicago Cubs. Not a bad pitching matchup for the Reds not because their starter Daniel Straily is anything special but because he’s essentially an even match with Milwaukee’s Zach Davis. Two pedestrian right handers with team records right near the ‘Mendoza’ and ERA’s between 4 and 4.5 in most situations. Milwaukee has been awful against right handed pitching this year (23-38 -12 units) but the Reds haven’t been any better despite not losing as much money (27-42 -6.2 units).

Two teams that look to be fairly evenly matched ‘on paper’ and priced in a way that validates that. The ‘eye test’, however, gives a much different result. The Brewers are a bad team but they haven’t packed it in for the year. The Cincinnati Reds could very well be the worst team in baseball even if their record hasn’t quite caught up to their pitiful level of play just quite yet.

BET MILWAUKEE BREWERS +110 OVER CINCINNATI REDS