MLB Baseball Betting: Washington Nationals at New York Mets

MLB Baseball Betting:  Washington Nationals at New York Mets

The Washington Nationals will try to finish out the first half of the Major League Baseball season on a winning note as they take on the New York Mets at CitiField on Sunday afternoon. On Saturday, the Nationals got an excellent performance from right hander Max Scherzer en route to a 6-1 win over New York that allows them to open up a 5 game lead atop the NL East heading into the final game before the All Star Break. The Miami Marlins are in third place 6 games back and the Philadelphia Phillies (who are playing well winning 7 of 10) and Atlanta Braves are further off the pace.

Washington will start mercurial lefthander Gio Gonzalez who has been somewhere between mediocre and awful this season. The Nationals ended a 7 game losing streak in Gonzalez’s starts on June 30 but they were back to the losing on July 5 in a 5-2 loss to the Milwaukee Brewers. In reality, Gonzalez pitched reasonably well allowing only 3 ER on 7 hits but that wasn’t enough to get the win. For the year, the Nationals are 6-11 in Gonzalez’s 17 starts including 2-6 on the road. They’ve lost 2 of his last 3 starts with Gonzalez sporting an ugly 7.80 ERA and 1.800 WHIP. Most of the ugliness is due to a 6 ER in 3 innings outing on June 25 at Milwaukee.

The Mets will counter with lefthander Steven Matz. New York has won 9 of 15 Matz starts this season including a 4-4 record at home. He’s got a 3.54 ERA overall but has a 5.94 ERA in his last three games–though the Mets won two of them. His bad near term performance is primarily due to a poor showing in an 8-6 New York win at Atlanta on June 24. New York took the win but Matz pitched only 4 1/3 innings allowing 6 earned runs.

Kind of a ‘coin toss’ game. Matz has marginally better numbers this year, the Nationals are marginally better against left handed pitching. Washington has won 8 of 12 head to head this year including 4 of 6 at CitiField. We’ll take a shot on the road team since we’d rather half the ‘underdog’ side in a toss up game. Not a huge dog price but we’ll take it.