MLB Betting Picks: Miami Marlins at Arizona Diamondbacks

MLB Betting Picks:  Miami Marlins at Arizona Diamondbacks

The Miami Marlins had a surprisingly successful weekend as they took a pair of games from the best team in baseball, the St. Louis Cardinals. Now they’ll take to the road and try to sustain that momentum as they head West to play the Arizona Diamondbacks. The Diamondbacks have scrapped atop the NL West holding a 1/2 game lead over the Colorado Rockies but they haven’t been playing especially good baseball of late having lost 7 of their last 10 games. Miami is still buried in the NL East basement though they have split their last 10 games–a strong run relatively speaking.

Arizona is hoping that they can regain their footing in this series against the bottom feeding Marlins and there’s a couple of situational records that suggest they can. Miami hasn’t played especially good baseball anywhere but they’ve been awful on the road posting a record of 8-24 -10.1 units. Arizona isn’t a great home team–they’re up a unit at home with a record of 17-14–but that should be enough to take care of the poor traveling Fish. In addition, today’s pitching matchup greatly favors the Diamondbacks–Arizona will start talented lefthander Pat Corbin who has been exceptional all year and especially at home. Corbin has a 2.28 ERA on the year that improves to 1.60 at home. And as the old saying goes the ‘proof is in the pudding’–the Diamondbacks are a perfect 13-0 when Corbin starts this season. As a result Corbin has been the most profitable pitcher in baseball this season earning backers +13.7 units.

Miami’s Monday starter also deserves a bit of mention–youngster Jacob Turner has been very sharp in his brief MLB career. He’s got a 1.80 ERA in his 3 starts this season with 2 Marlin wins. We like Turner a lot but don’t like the Marlins in this spot. It’s also a tough scheduling spot for Miami as they travel from South Florida to Arizona. That won’t help things and we don’t expect them to be able to do much against the exceptional Pat Corbin. Miami hits .208 and averages a paltry 1.9 runs per game against lefthanders and on Monday they’ll be facing one of the best in baseball at the moment. Look for the Diamondbacks to do no worse than 2 of 3 if not complete the sweep.