2014 NBA Draft Prop Bets

2014 NBA Draft Prop Bets

The 2014 NBA Draft takes place tonight at the Barclays Center in Brooklyn. For the second straight year and third time in four years, the Cleveland Cavaliers hold the top pick. Until Kansas center Joel Embiid’s recent foot surgery, most pundits considered him the best available prospect. Now the debate for the first selection is between Kansas shooting guard Andrew Wiggins and Duke forward Jabari Parker. The Cavs have no doubt received offers for the pick, so it’s probable Philadelphia, Orlando, or another team moves up to secure either Wiggins or Parker. As with any draft, questions linger. How far will Embiid tumble down the board? Will Australian phenom Dante Exum go in the Top 5? How many trades will there be? Here are some prop bets to consider.

Odds of the number one overall pick:

Wiggins 1/2

Parker 7/5

Embiid 12/1

Wiggins has the most upside, but Parker is the more NBA ready player. As for Embiid, he could end up being a steal if he drops below 8. Then again, his injury history and the unflattering comparisons to Greg Oden are enough to scare several teams away.

How many college freshman will be taken in first round?

Over/Under: 8.5

There are at least nine freshman with first-round grades: Embiid, Wiggins, Parker, Tyler Ennis, Aaron Gordon, Julius Randle, Zach LaVine, Noah Vonleh, and James Young. LaVine is the one player who might slip into the second, although his potential will likely result in some team grabbing him.

Dante Exum’s draft position:

Over/Under: 3.5

Exum might be the most polarizing player in the entire draft. He has zero college experience and played his high school ball in Australia. He has the size (6’5″) teams covet for a point guard, but is untested and lacks polish. He could go as high as 3, or he could slide if teams panic as the last minute. Even though the Sixers have the very similar Michael Carter-Williams, they might snag him at 3 if they don’t trade up or back.

Will Cleveland trade the number one pick?

YES +200

NO -300

Anthony Bennett isn’t a finished product, but he was invisible as a rookie. The Cavs are desperate for a legit big man, so Embiid’s surgery likely ruined their plans. The Sixers and Magic are rumored to be interested in the top pick to land Wiggins. If the offer is right, teh Cavs would be wise to move down and acquire extra picks. There is excellent value between 6 and 15.

Who will be drafted first? 

Gary Harris +200

Nik Stauskas -280

A pair of Big Ten sophomore guards are projected to go somewhere in the Top 15. Stauskas has the most upside due to his 6’6″ frame and three-point shooting prowess. Every NBA team wants more perimeter bombers, so guys like Stauskas will always be valued more than they should be.