NFL Betting Preview: Cleveland Browns at Kansas City Chiefs

NFL Betting Preview:  Cleveland Browns at Kansas City Chiefs

It’s been a banner year for the Kansas City Chiefs under new coach Andy Reid. Following a 2-14 season last year the Chiefs have turned it around nicely and enter this contest as the only undefeated team in the NFL at 7-0. It hasn’t always been easy–they held off a determined effort from the Houston Texans last Sunday to win by a single point. Cleveland is having a strange season–they appeared to have ‘thrown in the towel’ when they traded away running back Trent Richardson but started to play well after that. In the midst of that they changed quarterbacks to Brian Hoyer, relegating Brandon Weeden to backup status. Then Hoyer got injured re-elevating Weeden to the starting job. Now head coach Rob Chudzinski is contemplating another change at quarterback, this time for veteran Jason Campbell. Given all of the drama and upheaval in the Browns’ line up it’s amazing that they’re 3-4.

The Kansas City Chiefs were expecting an improvement under first year coach Andy Reid. Honestly, it would be hard not to improve just because the inept Romeo Crennel was no longer at the helm. No one expected that the team would get off to a franchise best start. There’s nothing flashy about this Chiefs team which is why we’re very hesitant to bet them as favorites. Andy Reid’s methodical play calling and Alex Smith’s tactical work at quarterback is effective at minimizing mistakes but not so effective at hanging a margin on opponents. The Chiefs rely on ball control and defense which is a good way to win games but not a good way to cover pointspreads.

Cleveland in many ways is a ‘poor man’s’ Kansas City Chiefs, only without as much talent. They not have the personnel to ‘outscore’ opponents so in theory they want to do the same thing that Kansas City does. This isn’t a bad strategy to turn around a struggling team but its hard to see Cleveland beating the Chiefs. In our view the best betting position will be on the total–we’ll look to play ‘Under’. Just hard to see where points are going to come from.