Week 2 NFL Picks

Week 2 NFL Picks

Two weeks into the 2014 NFL season and which teams look like legit contenders remains a bit murky. Seattle and Denver appear to be what everyone thought they were, but the prospects for Chicago, New Orleans, New England, and Green Bay took a hit after their Week 1 performances. Ten home teams have been installed as favorites for the Sunday/Monday slate of games and only one team (Denver) is giving double-digit points. There are also a couple of curious lines that bettors should be eying closely. Here’s a rundown of Week 2’s most intriguing matchups.

DETROIT AT CAROLINA -2.5

Here we go again with the Lions. They looked great on Monday night, but it was at home against the woeful Giants. History suggests Detroit on the road is never a good play. The Panthers were solid in Week 1 without Cam Newton and now Newton is back. Rookie wide receiver Kelvin Benjamin was impressive and he draws a suspect Lions secondary. This one comes down to Matt Stafford’s ability to avoid pressure and find Calvin Johnson and Golden Tate. If Newton is rusty and mistake-prone the ‘Cats could be in trouble. Panthers are 6-0-1 ATS in their last seven at home. Lions are 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 road tilts, but 5-1 ATS in last six versus Carolina.

Bet Carolina -2.5

JACKSONVILLE AT WASHINGTON -6.5

The Jags were feisty against the Eagles, but some of that can be attributed to Nick Foles playing like Mark Sanchez circa 2012. The Philly secondary also suffered a pair of awful breakdowns which led to rookie Alan Hurns toasting them for two touchdowns. This should take nothing away from Gus Bradley’s boys, because they put forth maximum effort and were leading until the 4th quarter collapse. The Redskins offense was on pause for most of their Week 1 defeat to Houston. It’s unclear whether RG III has lost his mojo or if Jay Gruden is easing him into the system. Neither DeSean Jackson or Pierre Garcon stretched the field, although if safety Johnathan Cyprien is ruled out, the ‘Skins passing game could rack up some points. Jaguars are 4-2 ATS in their last six road games. Washington is 3-6 ATS in their last nine at home. Until Washington shows a pulse, this is too many points.

Bet Jacksonville +6.5

NEW ENGLAND AT MINNESOTA +3.5

Blame the beard for the Pats Week 1 flop in Miami. Tom Brady did because he shaved it off. Probably Gisele’s idea. Anyway, New England has bigger fish to fry when the travel to Minnesota to face the Vikings at TCF Bank Stadium, their temporary home until the new digs are finished in 2016. The Purple and Gold manhandled St. Louis on the road last week. Cordarrelle Patterson was dynamic and the defense recorded five sacks and a pair of interceptions. That’s all well and good, but Tom Brady is the furthest thing from Shaun Hill and Austin Davis. Pats haven’t been 0-2 since 2001, but are 1-7 ATS in their last eight road trips. Vikings are 1-7 ATS in their last eight versus AFC East opponents.

Bet New England -3.5

KANSAS CITY AT DENVER -12

The Broncos were good, not dominant, in Week 1. Andrew Luck’s second half heroics had something to do with that, but Peyton Manning’s vaunted passing attack seemed a tad flat, with the exception of tight end Julius Thomas, who was a one-man wrecking crew. Aqib Talib and DeMarcus Ware were difference-makers on defense, which bodes well for the rest of the season. On the flipside, the Chiefs are a mess. The Titans took away Jamaal Charles, although Andy Reid didn’t help matters by going pass happy way too early. Their defense lost Derrick Johnson and Mike DeVito for the season, and the offense has zero vertical threats. Broncos are 7-3 ATS in their ten when favored by double-digits. Chiefs are 7-2 ATS on the road in their last nine. This has blowout written all over it.

Bet Denver -12